Saturday, June 25, 2005

A Look Back at Jim's Streak.

Jim's Beaners had an amazing win streak for the first two and a half months of the season. I mean, who goes 10-0 to start the season? And he wasn't just getting lucky and winning by a category or two each time, he was dominating people. Since it was so unbelievable, I thought I'd take a look back at some of the numbers that made it all possible.

  PCTPFPA
Beaners10-01.00093.027.0

Just look at that line. The Beaners won by an average on 9.3 points to 2.7. Round that and he's beating people 9 to 3 each week. He did have a couple of close calls so if you took those out it would probably look more like 10 to 2. That's domination.

Since we are a bit new to this Head-to-Head thing, lets compare how he did during the streak in standard roto terms. On the week of his 10th win, here's his placement in each of the 12 categories that we use:

Hitting

Runs:
2nd with 423 runs ( 7 behind leader )

RBIs:
1st with 461 RBI ( 26 ahead )

HRs:
1st with 123 home runs ( 5 ahead )

Ave:
1st with a .290 average ( .007 ahead )

OPS:
1st with an .856 OPS ( 0.005 ahead )

SBs:
1st with 64 stolen bases ( 3 ahead )

Pitching

Wins:
2nd with 40 wins ( 5 behind leader )

Saves:
4th with 28 wins ( 16 behind leader )

IP:
4th with 558.3 innings pitched ( 30 behind leader )

ERA:
1st with a 3.16 ERA ( 0.51 ahead )

WHIP:
1st with a 1.110 WHIP ( 0.141 ahead )

K-BB:
1st with 312 K-BB ( 13 ahead )

OK, so he's first in about two-thirds of the categories. And he's especially dominating in hitting. Probably the only two categories he consistently lost were Saves and Innings Pitched. But he's no slouch in either of those.

I'm curious about what this would have translated to in standings in the old roto style we're used to, so here are the standing through the first 10 weeks:


 HittingPitchingTotal
Beaners474188
Poppers3732.569.5
FKAKY3030.560.5
Utility Men22.52850.5
Diggleturb30.519.550
Heaters1532.547.5
Pickle Weasels142539
Full Flanull20727


Yea, that's pretty dominating. The crazy thing is that this is pretty much the team he drafted. He's only purchased one player during the streak: Kazuhisa Ishii. So who did he draft that lifted him to these heights? Was it rookies, sleepers, or established players? Here's a look at Jim's current roster stats:

Team report for Beaners

Hitters
Year-to-Date Stats

PlayerTeamRHRRBISBAVGOPS
BSchneiderWas214191.265.739
JEstradaAtl213300.275.731
DLeeChC60226410.3901.20
CTracyAri308300.300.832
DWrightNYM4010386.291.882
JSpiveyWas276198.237.700
JCastilloPit4120.211.558
NPerezChC264174.256.645
BAbreuPhi51164818.312.982
CLeeMil4020678.278.907
JBayPit5113364.302.932
BHawpeCol134241.263.744
JDuboisChC4240.214.695
PBurrellPhi2815560.297.921

--> Stats of Previously Active Hitters
CBarmesCol408344.329.886
JHardyMil10170.151.490
JLaneHou155175.218.660
JSnowSF9171.354.886
Total: 49014351970.287.8495


Looks like he got some serious contributions from some established guys who are goin' off. Derek Lee, Carlos Lee, and Pat Burrell are all doing better than their career average. Bobby Abreu has a good start as well and could be off to career highs in SBs and HRs. On the other hand, Jason Bay, Clint Barmes, David Wright, and even Chad Tracy are doing very well. When you draft those guys you hope one of them goes off or at least doesn't suck. All of them are solid or way above average. Too bad Barmes got hurt (not for the rest of the league though!).


Pitchers
Year-to-Date Stats
PlayerTeamWSVIPERAWHIPK-BB
PMartinezNYM80109.02.720.79897
RClemensHou60101.01.510.95067
DWillisFla120107.71.761.09661
DDavisMil7076.74.341.33033
THoffmanSD01925.34.261.22419
CHammondSD5035.71.770.89717
TJonesFla11220.31.330.78713
BMoehlerFla0035.34.581.5286
KIshiiNYM2041.35.441.4767


--> Stats of Previously Active Pitchers
DSanchezLAD1013.72.631.1713
VPadillaPhi1021.38.442.203-1
AHeilmanNYM3048.74.071.13028
BBruneyAri0111.35.561.5881
Total: 4632647.33.141.132351



Well, this one is obvious. He got two studs in Clemens and Pedro, then Dontrelle is having a monster season. Apparently he can throw any other crap out there and still dominate. The only real boost from a strange place would be Chris Hammond dominating in middle relief. I'd say Brian Moehler because he's doing well, but he has stunk it up for the Beaners while active.

Looks like Jim had the "Perfect Storm", vets who perform at or above average supplimented by rookies or young players who are having career years. Basically, mix some luck with a decent draft and you've got the recipe for total domination.

Congrats Jim on a great run. We'll see how the team deals with their first loss of the season :). Next stop, the All-Star break!

2 comments:

Jason P said...

(Copied from the message board)

At 22:36 on 6/25/2005, Heaters wrote:

It's interesting to see that the "old roto stats" are almost identical to the "new head-to-head" standings. If you look at 1st thru 8th place for both, the standings after ten weeks are virtually identical.

At 15:04 on 6/25/2005, Heaters wrote:

Nice article Jay!! Can you do something like that for my team when I win 2 straight weeks??? Nice fist half Jim! The one saving grace this season is that the post season results still pay out 1st and 2nd place. It's kind of like that line in Dumb and Dumber "A million to one", the chick says, then Jim Carrey says, "Sooo, you're saying I have a chance?!!".

Jason P said...

Hmm, it is pretty close to the standings, except you wouldn't be tied with Dan!